Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.004211 0.004432 0.004659 0.004910 0.005180 0.005462 0.005780
2025-08-17 0.003886 0.004220 0.004578 0.004993 0.005461 0.005976 0.006588
2025-08-24 0.003629 0.004022 0.004456 0.004974 0.005578 0.006267 0.007117
2025-08-31 0.003424 0.003856 0.004343 0.004939 0.005654 0.006492 0.007561
2025-09-07 0.003239 0.003695 0.004219 0.004873 0.005676 0.006641 0.007908
2025-09-14 0.003078 0.003550 0.004102 0.004803 0.005680 0.006759 0.008213
2025-09-21 0.002976 0.003469 0.004054 0.004810 0.005775 0.006987 0.008663
2025-09-28 0.002808 0.003299 0.003888 0.004659 0.005657 0.006933 0.008732
2025-10-05 0.002725 0.003230 0.003842 0.004655 0.005726 0.007120 0.009131
2025-10-12 0.002688 0.003214 0.003861 0.004733 0.005901 0.007454 0.009749
2025-10-19 0.002603 0.003135 0.003796 0.004696 0.005920 0.007575 0.010069
2025-10-26 0.002529 0.003066 0.003740 0.004669 0.005949 0.007707 0.010409
2025-11-02 0.002454 0.002994 0.003679 0.004633 0.005965 0.007823 0.010737
2025-11-09 0.002429 0.002987 0.003702 0.004710 0.006142 0.008178 0.011450
2025-11-16 0.002369 0.002931 0.003657 0.004693 0.006182 0.008333 0.011859
2025-11-23 0.002308 0.002870 0.003604 0.004660 0.006198 0.008451 0.012215
2025-11-30 0.002239 0.002798 0.003533 0.004599 0.006168 0.008497 0.012453
2025-12-07 0.002173 0.002728 0.003461 0.004535 0.006129 0.008526 0.012662
2025-12-14 0.002135 0.002695 0.003440 0.004541 0.006197 0.008721 0.013165
2025-12-21 0.002049 0.002593 0.003321 0.004402 0.006036 0.008549 0.013019
2025-12-28 0.002013 0.002559 0.003295 0.004398 0.006084 0.008711 0.013469
2026-01-04 0.002003 0.002562 0.003321 0.004470 0.006250 0.009072 0.014301
2026-01-11 0.001960 0.002516 0.003277 0.004436 0.006249 0.009156 0.014631